Projexions · sports betting models
Hi, my name is Mani.
I build sports stuff.
Mostly betting models. I build them, break them, fix them. I think I sometimes beat the market.
My weekly projections go up on ProjeXions.
- Picks tracked
- 573
- Net units
- +74.73u
- ROI
- +10.2%
- Models tracked
- 2
Models
Compare all →NFL Player Props
A full-game simulator that originates its own lines for every skill-position prop and plays only its strongest disagreements with the market.
- Record
- 118-94
- Units
- +21.68u
- ROI
- +10.2%
MLB Pitcher Strikeouts
A projection model for every probable starter's strikeouts that bets overs and unders whenever its edge over the implied line reaches 7%, staked in proportion to that edge.
- Record
- 190-171
- Units
- +53.05u
- ROI
- +10.2%
Projects
All projects →Oct 10, 2026· Tracked model
Building an NFL player prop engine from scratch
How I originate my own lines for QB, RB, WR and TE props with a full-game Monte Carlo simulator. No sportsbook inputs go into the model; prices are only compared afterward.
Sep 15, 2026
Sportsbook arbitrage scanner
A Python scanner that polls lines across books, flags arbitrage and middle opportunities, and pushes them to a live dashboard.
Jul 8, 2026
Polymarket whale tracker
A live dashboard that follows the 50 most profitable Polymarket traders into sports markets resolving in the next 24 hours, and scores each position for conviction.
Coming soon
College football totals
A game totals model for college football. It projects each team's scoring from pace, efficiency and matchup data, then prices the over/under.
Coming soon
NBA player props
Bringing the simulation approach behind the NFL prop engine to basketball, projecting minutes, usage and per-possession production for every player prop.